President Donald Trump’s approval rating has climbed back to the 50% mark, according to a new national survey, a level that closely tracks his performance in the 2024 election.
The InsiderAdvantage poll of 800 likely voters, conducted Feb. 17–18 using a mix of text and online panel responses, reported a margin of error of plus or minus 3.46 percentage points.
When asked about Trump’s job performance, respondents were narrowly favorable:
Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 46%
Undecided: 4%
The numbers place Trump’s approval roughly in line with, or slightly above, his national popular vote showing in November 2024, underscoring a deeply divided electorate but one that currently leans modestly in his favor.
InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery said the president’s rebound follows a softer period earlier in his term.
After a period of weakness in his approval ratings, President Trump has come back to the 50% level, near to or exceeding his margin of victory against Kamala Harris in 2024. Other pollsters who also have correctly polled Trump in past election cycles are showing the same upward trend. Rasmussen Reports’ approval shows Trump’s approval on the rise as well.
Towery pointed to several factors he believes are driving the shift, including immigration enforcement and economic perceptions.
Basically it is a combination of ICE raids becoming orderly and strategic and obvious evidence that the economy is actually turning to the positive. While the last government shutdown appeared to hurt Trump’s ratings, this one appears to be actually helping his numbers.
Polling on Trump has long varied widely depending on methodology, and Towery argued that firms with strong track records in past elections are converging around similar results.
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There are clearly two camps of pollsters who utilize different methods of data collection and weighting in their approval ratings. But I would note that those firms who most accurately polled President Trump’s three elections use similar methodologies.
The survey suggests the country remains sharply polarized but not evenly split.
Basically the country is where it is when Trump was elected. Highly polarized, but at the moment, more supportive of Trump than not.
Top-line data for the poll were released separately by the firm.
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