With the clock ticking down to Election Day, Democrats are reportedly panicking over abysmally low voter turnout, especially in crucial battleground states. Leaked data reveals a troubling gap in urban voter participation—traditionally a Democrat stronghold—that could spell disaster for Kamala Harris’s campaign and the party at large.
With President Trump’s campaign outpacing Democrat efforts in absentee ballots and early voting, the data paints a troubling picture for Democrats.
According to the leaked memo from Tim Saler, Chief Data Consultant for the Republican National Committee, Democrats are facing a staggering deficit in urban turnout across battleground states.
This is not just a minor blip; it signals a catastrophic decline in support for Harris, or maybe those weren’t real “people” in 2020.
According to the confidential memo:
With Early Voting closed and Election Day on the horizon, Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit. In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast. As we dive deeper into the data, Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own “data experts” and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout.
Obama’s former campaign manager, Jim Messina, said on MSNBC that “the early vote numbers are a little scary.” What Mr. Messina is downplaying, is they are a lot scarier for Democrats. According to NBC News, President Donald Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day. Obama’s chief campaign strategist and CNN political commentator, David Axelrod, told CNN that there are no guarantees that voters will turn out on Election Day for Vice President Harris.
Democrats are spinning themselves and reporters by claiming that their voters will turn out on Election Day when polls show otherwise and, most importantly, that’s asking Democrat voters to do something they have absolutely no history of doing. If Democrats, who historically vote ahead of Election Day, haven’t been motivated to show up for Kamala yet, why do we expect them to show up tomorrow?
President Donald J. Trump is going into Election Day stronger than he has in any previous election and if patriots across the country keep the momentum and turn out as expected on Election Day, we will be swearing in President Trump in January.
But you don’t need to take our word for it. According to Democrat data expert Tom Bonier of TargetSmart:
Arizona:
Urban turnout is down -385,285 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -170,011 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +14,124 votes compared to this point in 2020
Georgia:
Urban turnout is down -153,846 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -46,732 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +171,837 votes compared to this point in 2020
Michigan:
Urban turnout is down -321,523 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -204,856 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +55,951 votes compared to this point in 2020
North Carolina:
Urban turnout is down -175,470 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -154,459 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +26,911 votes compared to this point in 2020
Nevada:
Urban turnout is down -191,199 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -126,112 votes compared to this point in 2020
Pennsylvania:
Urban turnout is down -381,519 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -450,802 votes compared to this point in 2020
Wisconsin:
Urban turnout is down -100,733 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -238,452 votes compared to this point in 2020
BREAKING: New memo confirms that Democrats are facing a huge turnout issue in the battlegrounds.
PA: Urban turnout is down 381K votes, female turnout is down 450K votes.
WI: Urban down 100K, female down 238K. pic.twitter.com/azDBWGHSx4
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 4, 2024
Kamala Harris will need a record turnout on Election Day in order to overtake President Trump in Pennsylvania.
Former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter warned Democrats that Kamala will need to 600,000 ballot vote margin over Trump in Philadelphia on Election Day to overtake the former President in Pennsylvania.
